12:30 p.m. ET: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-8, 47)
The Packers (4-6) have won two of their last three games and just took down the Chargers 23-20, winning outright as 3-point home dogs. Meanwhile, the Lions (8-2) have won three straight and just beat the Bears 31-26 but failed to cover as 8-point home favorites. This line opened with the Lions listed as a 7.5-point home favorite. Currently 70% of bets and 77% of money is laying the points with Detroit. This lopsided Pro and Joe support has steamed Detroit up from -7.5 to -8. Thanksgiving Day favorites are 34-18 ATS (65%) over the past two decades. Home favorites -6.5 or more are 22-12 ATS (65%) this season. Dan Campbell is 7-3 ATS this season and 30-14 ATS (65%) overall as head coach of the Lions. Sharps have also hit the over, raising the total from 44.5 to 47. Currently 51% of bets and 59% of money is taking the over. The Lions are 6-4 to the over this season, including 3-2 to the over at home.
4:30 p.m. ET: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys (-13.5, 48.5)
The Commanders (4-7) have lost four of their last five games and just fell to the Giants 31-19, losing outright as 7.5-point home favorites. On the flip side, the Cowboys (7-3) have won four of their last five games and just crushed the Panthers 33-10, easily covering as 11.5-point road favorites. This line opened with Dallas listed as a 9.5-point home favorite. Currently 68% of bets and 67% of money is laying the points with the Cowboys. This lopsided support has steamed Dallas up from -9.5 to -13.5. Home favorites who made the postseason the previous year are 34-21 ATS (62%) this season. Double-digit favorites are 10-5 ATS (67%) this season. Sharps have also steamed the over, raising the total from 45 to 48.5. Currently 53% of bets and 66% of money is taking the over, signaling a relatively undecided public but also respected sharp action on the over.
8:20 p.m. ET: San Francisco 49ers (-7, 44) at Seattle Seahawks
The 49ers (7-3) have won two straight games and just beat the Buccaneers 27-14 but failed to cover as 13.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Seahawks (6-4) have dropped two of their last three games and just fell to the Rams 17-16 but covered as 2.5-point road dogs. This line opened with the 49ers listed as a 5.5-point road favorite. Currently 79% of bets and 80% of money is laying the points with San Francisco. This lopsided betting has steamed the 49ers up from -5.5 to -7. San Francisco is in a prime teaser spot (-7 to -1), which passes through the key number of 3. Pros have also quietly leaned over, ticking the total up slightly from 43 to 44. Currently 58% of bets and 53% of money is taking the over. The 49ers went 3-0 against the Seahawks last season, winning 27-7, 21-13 and 41-23. Seahawks star RB Kenneth Walker is expected to miss this game due to injury.
